TRUMP TARIFFS ARE HITTING YOUR GROCERY BILL
If you've noticed your grocery bill creeping up lately, you're not imagining it. New tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are driving up prices on everyday food items across Southern California β and experts say it's going to get worse before it gets better.
π° WHAT'S HAPPENING
In February 2026, President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% tariff on imports from all countries, later increased to 15%. On top of that, a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada β our two biggest food trading partners β is set to take full effect on April 2, 2026.
California is the largest importer among US states, with over $675 billion in two-way trade. That means these tariffs hit our state harder than almost anywhere else.
π WHAT'S GETTING MORE EXPENSIVE
Here's what SoCal families should watch for
AVOCADOS π₯
90% of avocados consumed in the US are imported from Mexico. A 25% tariff could push avocado prices significantly higher. Even if California growers plant more trees, it takes 3+ years to produce fruit, and California doesn't grow year-round like Mexico does.
BERRIES π
91% of imported raspberries come from Mexico. Strawberries, blueberries, and blackberries are also heavily impacted.
CITRUS π
Mexico supplies about 72% of lemons and limes sold in the US. Expect higher prices at the store and at your favorite taquerΓa.
MILK & DAIRY π₯
Most California dairy cows are fed canola from Canada. If tariffs force a switch to more expensive soybean sources, milk production costs rise β and so do milk prices.
COFFEE β
Coffee imports face higher costs, which will be passed to consumers.
MANGOS & GUAVAS π₯
Mexico supplies about 60% of guavas and mangoes sold in the US.
BEER & TEQUILA πΊ
Imported Mexican beer and tequila face the 25% tariff directly.
π THE BOTTOM LINE FOR YOUR WALLET
Experts estimate that families may see a 5% to 8% increase in weekly grocery spending as these tariffs take full effect. On top of the 26% grocery price increase since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, this additional jump hits working families especially hard.
For a family spending $200/week on groceries, that's an extra $10-$16 per week, or $520-$832 per year.
π‘ HOW TO SAVE MONEY ON GROCERIES
β’ Shop at farmers markets β Buy direct from California growers and avoid import tariffs entirely. LA County has dozens of certified farmers markets every week.
β’ Buy seasonal and local β California grows an incredible variety of produce. When it's in season locally, it's cheaper. Check whatsinseason.com for California produce calendars.
β’ Use CalFresh (food stamps) β If your household income qualifies, you can get monthly benefits for groceries. Apply at GetCalFresh.org or call 211. CalFresh benefits can be used at many farmers markets, and some markets double your benefits through Market Match.
β’ WIC Program β Women, Infants, and Children program provides food benefits for pregnant women, new mothers, and children under 5. Call (888) 942-9675.
β’ Food banks β LA Regional Food Bank: (323) 234-3030. Second Harvest Food Bank of OC: (949) 653-2900. They serve anyone in need, no questions asked.
β’ Buy in bulk and freeze β Stock up on sale items and freeze. Berries, bread, and meat all freeze well.
β’ Compare unit prices β The price per ounce or pound is on the shelf tag. Store brands are almost always cheaper than name brands for the same quality.
β’ Clip digital coupons β Most major grocery chains (Ralphs, Vons, Albertsons, Food 4 Less) have apps with digital coupons that save real money.
β’ Consider Aldi and Grocery Outlet β Discount grocers often have prices 30-50% lower than traditional supermarkets.
π WHAT'S COMING NEXT
April 2, 2026 is the big date. That's when the full 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada take effect. Expect to see the biggest price jumps in produce, dairy, and imported beverages starting in April and May.
Some larger grocery chains may absorb part of the cost increases, but smaller stores and local markets may have to pass them on directly to shoppers.
π RESOURCES
β’ CalFresh: GetCalFresh.org or call 211
β’ WIC: (888) 942-9675
β’ LA Regional Food Bank: (323) 234-3030
β’ Second Harvest OC: (949) 653-2900
β’ 211 (dial 2-1-1) β Food assistance, benefits help, and community resources
Sources: NPR, NBC Los Angeles, Newsweek, CNN Business, Tax Foundation, KQED
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